What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06019008303 in Mendota · 93640 · (Tract 83.3)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $310,218 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06019008303 in Mendota · 93640 · (Tract 83.3)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $310,218 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.2%.

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Parcel 06019008303 (Mendota) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06019008303, Mendota · 93640 · (Tract 83.3) Home Price Forecast

Fresno, CA · ZIP 93640 · Census Tract 06019008303 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$310K

Downside (P10)

$279K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$333K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$436K

+40% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$212K	$220K	$256K	$261K	$315K	$310K	$315K	$326K	$333K	$327K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$97,918	-$90,018	-$54,718	-$49,518	+$4,382		+$4,581	+$15,633	+$22,467	+$16,817
Growth % vs 2026	-31.6%	-29.0%	-17.6%	-16.0%	+1.4%		+1.5%	+5.0%	+7.2%	+5.4%
Downside (P10)							$272K	$279K	$279K	$291K
Upside (P90)							$361K	$427K	$436K	$372K

Forecast Confidence

86%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$272K to $361K

28.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$291K to $372K

25.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.4% · Spread: 25%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 06019008303, Mendota · 93640 · (Tract 83.3) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).