What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06017030605 in North El Dorado?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $473,435 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06017030605 in North El Dorado?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $473,435 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.4%.

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Parcel 06017030605 (North El Dorado) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06017030605, North El Dorado Home Price Forecast

El Dorado, CA · ZIP 95633 · Census Tract 06017030605 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$473K

Downside (P10)

$410K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$532K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$628K

+33% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$325K	$358K	$402K	$506K	$447K	$473K	$482K	$518K	$532K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$148,035	-$115,635	-$71,035	+$32,665	-$26,535		+$8,516	+$44,667	+$58,846
Growth % vs 2026	-31.3%	-24.4%	-15.0%	+6.9%	-5.6%		+1.8%	+9.4%	+12.4%
Downside (P10)							$393K	$413K	$410K
Upside (P90)							$549K	$599K	$628K

Forecast Confidence

78%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$393K to $549K

32.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$410K to $628K

40.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +12.4% · Spread: 41%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 06017030605, North El Dorado on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).