County 06219, CA · Census Tract 06219D00500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$105K
Downside (P10)
$103K
-2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$161K
+53% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$260K
+148% by 2030
Base case: +53% by 2030, with a forecast range from -2% to +148%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 06219 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $105K | $126K | $141K | $150K | $161K |
| YoY Change | +19.9% | +11.9% | +6.6% | +7.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $102K | $104K | $102K | $103K | |
| Upside (P90) | $163K | $200K | $228K | $260K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$92K to $120K
26.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$103K to $260K
97.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract E00700 | $91K | $149K | +63.6% |
| Tract E00400 | $91K | $150K | +65.1% |
| Tract E02800 | $89K | $139K | +56.5% |
| Tract C00900 | $130K | $197K | +51.6% |
| Tract C00300 | $78K | $121K | +55.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract D00800 | $156K | $257K | +65.2% |
| Tract E00400 | $91K | $150K | +65.1% |
| Tract E00700 | $91K | $149K | +63.6% |
| Tract C01200 | $67K | $109K | +62.8% |
| Tract E03600 | $144K | $228K | +58.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract D02800 | $53K | $80K | $111K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources