County 06203, CA · Census Tract 06203B00400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$602K
Downside (P10)
$653K
+9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$867K
+44% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.11M
+84% by 2030
Base case: +44% by 2030, with a forecast range from +9% to +84%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 06203 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $602K | $698K | $756K | $808K | $867K |
| YoY Change | +16.1% | +8.2% | +6.9% | +7.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $586K | $611K | $620K | $653K | |
| Upside (P90) | $815K | $921K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$533K to $659K
20.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$653K to $1.11M
52.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract B01200 | $459K | $659K | +43.4% |
| Tract A01500 | $377K | $535K | +41.8% |
| Tract A04200 | $377K | $583K | +54.8% |
| Tract B00601 | $333K | $516K | +55.0% |
| Tract A00802 | $306K | $458K | +49.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract A01100 | $236K | $393K | +66.7% |
| Tract B02400 | $234K | $376K | +60.9% |
| Tract B00601 | $333K | $516K | +55.0% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources