What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06013380001 in Richmond · 94804 · (Tract 3800.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $632,507 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06013380001 in Richmond · 94804 · (Tract 3800.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $632,507 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.6%.

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Parcel 06013380001 (Richmond) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06013380001, Richmond · 94804 · (Tract 3800.1) Home Price Forecast

Contra Costa, CA · ZIP 94804 · Census Tract 06013380001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$633K

Downside (P10)

$550K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$674K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$912K

+44% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$478K	$512K	$590K	$609K	$614K	$633K	$655K	$670K	$674K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$154,107	-$120,807	-$42,207	-$23,507	-$18,707		+$22,046	+$37,828	+$41,969
Growth % vs 2026	-24.4%	-19.1%	-6.7%	-3.7%	-3.0%		+3.5%	+6.0%	+6.6%
Downside (P10)							$566K	$543K	$550K
Upside (P90)							$771K	$821K	$912K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$566K to $771K

31.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$550K to $912K

53.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +6.6% · Spread: 54%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 06013380001, Richmond · 94804 · (Tract 3800.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).