What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04027011203 in Wellton?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $54,727 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04027011203 in Wellton?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $54,727 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.5%.

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Parcel 04027011203 (Wellton) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 04027011203, Wellton Home Price Forecast

Yuma, AZ · ZIP 85356 · Census Tract 04027011203 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$55K

Downside (P10)

$51K

-7% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$59K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$79K

+45% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$96K	$59K	$57K	$56K	$53K	$55K	$55K	$58K	$59K
Growth $ vs 2026	+$40,973	+$4,173	+$2,473	+$1,073	-$1,927		+$148	+$3,322	+$4,109
Growth % vs 2026	+74.9%	+7.6%	+4.5%	+2.0%	-3.5%		+0.3%	+6.1%	+7.5%
Downside (P10)							$51K	$52K	$51K
Upside (P90)							$68K	$74K	$79K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$51K to $68K

31.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$51K to $79K

48.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.5% · Spread: 48%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 04027011203, Wellton on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).