What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04021000804 in Florence?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $171,908 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04021000804 in Florence?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $171,908 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.9%.

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Parcel 04021000804 (Florence) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 04021000804, Florence Home Price Forecast

Pinal, AZ · ZIP 85132 · Census Tract 04021000804 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$172K

Downside (P10)

$148K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$194K

+13% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$243K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$67K	$82K	$100K	$154K	$166K	$172K	$177K	$184K	$194K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$105,108	-$89,908	-$71,908	-$18,208	-$6,408		+$4,998	+$12,356	+$22,158
Growth % vs 2026	-61.1%	-52.3%	-41.8%	-10.6%	-3.7%		+2.9%	+7.2%	+12.9%
Downside (P10)							$159K	$155K	$148K
Upside (P90)							$212K	$226K	$243K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$159K to $212K

30.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$148K to $243K

48.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +12.9% · Spread: 49%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 04021000804, Florence on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).