What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04013040538 in Wickenburg · Surprise · (Tract 405.38)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $503,651 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 1.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04013040538 in Wickenburg · Surprise · (Tract 405.38)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $503,651 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 1.6%.

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Parcel 04013040538 (Wickenburg) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 04013040538, Wickenburg · Surprise · (Tract 405.38) Home Price Forecast

Phoenix, AZ · ZIP 85387 · Census Tract 04013040538 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$504K

Downside (P10)

$413K

-18% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$512K

+2% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$706K

+40% by 2030

Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$308K	$356K	$407K	$473K	$504K	$504K	$512K	$519K	$512K	$529K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$196,151	-$147,451	-$96,651	-$31,051	+$249		+$8,001	+$15,056	+$8,013	+$24,925
Growth % vs 2026	-38.9%	-29.3%	-19.2%	-6.2%	+0.0%		+1.6%	+3.0%	+1.6%	+4.9%
Downside (P10)							$437K	$422K	$413K	$461K
Upside (P90)							$647K	$657K	$706K	$602K

Forecast Confidence

85%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$437K to $647K

41.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$461K to $602K

26.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.9% · Spread: 27%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 04013040538, Wickenburg · Surprise · (Tract 405.38) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).