What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04013082213 in Phoenix · Tolleson · (Tract 822.13)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $401,382 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04013082213 in Phoenix · Tolleson · (Tract 822.13)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $401,382 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.9%.

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Parcel 04013082213 (Phoenix) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 04013082213, Phoenix · Tolleson · (Tract 822.13) Home Price Forecast

Phoenix, AZ · ZIP 85353 · Census Tract 04013082213 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$401K

Downside (P10)

$348K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$445K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$547K

+36% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$227K	$242K	$285K	$362K	$392K	$401K	$415K	$439K	$445K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$174,282	-$159,682	-$116,082	-$39,782	-$9,282		+$13,298	+$37,251	+$43,766
Growth % vs 2026	-43.4%	-39.8%	-28.9%	-9.9%	-2.3%		+3.3%	+9.3%	+10.9%
Downside (P10)							$356K	$346K	$348K
Upside (P90)							$488K	$543K	$547K

Forecast Confidence

75%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$356K to $488K

32.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$348K to $547K

44.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.9% · Spread: 45%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 04013082213, Phoenix · Tolleson · (Tract 822.13) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).