What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04013816501 in Gilbert · 85298 · (Tract 8165.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $819,229 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04013816501 in Gilbert · 85298 · (Tract 8165.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $819,229 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.4%.

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Parcel 04013816501 (Gilbert) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 04013816501, Gilbert · 85298 · (Tract 8165.1) Home Price Forecast

Phoenix, AZ · ZIP 85298 · Census Tract 04013816501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$819K

Downside (P10)

$696K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$880K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.18M

+43% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$449K	$488K	$574K	$694K	$819K	$819K	$842K	$872K	$880K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$370,729	-$331,329	-$245,629	-$125,429	-$229		+$22,587	+$53,263	+$60,691
Growth % vs 2026	-45.3%	-40.4%	-30.0%	-15.3%	-0.0%		+2.8%	+6.5%	+7.4%
Downside (P10)							$725K	$723K	$696K
Upside (P90)							$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.2M

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$725K to $1.1M

38.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$696K to $1.2M

54.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.4% · Spread: 54%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 04013816501, Gilbert · 85298 · (Tract 8165.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).