What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04013610902 in Deer Valley · Peoria · (Tract 6109.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $665,793 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04013610902 in Deer Valley · Peoria · (Tract 6109.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $665,793 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.5%.

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Parcel 04013610902 (Deer Valley) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 04013610902, Deer Valley · Peoria · (Tract 6109.2) Home Price Forecast

Phoenix, AZ · ZIP 85383 · Census Tract 04013610902 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$666K

Downside (P10)

$564K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$729K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$986K

+48% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$376K	$405K	$469K	$554K	$664K	$666K	$694K	$721K	$729K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$289,893	-$260,693	-$196,893	-$111,393	-$1,393		+$28,283	+$55,395	+$63,046
Growth % vs 2026	-43.5%	-39.2%	-29.6%	-16.7%	-0.2%		+4.2%	+8.3%	+9.5%
Downside (P10)							$588K	$590K	$564K
Upside (P90)							$860K	$900K	$986K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$588K to $860K

39.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$564K to $986K

57.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.5% · Spread: 58%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 04013610902, Deer Valley · Peoria · (Tract 6109.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).