What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04013816401 in Chandler · Gilbert · (Tract 8164.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $664,213 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04013816401 in Chandler · Gilbert · (Tract 8164.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $664,213 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.7%.

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Parcel 04013816401 (Chandler) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 04013816401, Chandler · Gilbert · (Tract 8164.1) Home Price Forecast

Phoenix, AZ · ZIP 85298 · Census Tract 04013816401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$664K

Downside (P10)

$547K

-18% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$728K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$984K

+48% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$403K	$434K	$503K	$576K	$634K	$664K	$683K	$711K	$728K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$261,113	-$229,913	-$161,413	-$88,513	-$30,213		+$18,620	+$46,756	+$64,266
Growth % vs 2026	-39.3%	-34.6%	-24.3%	-13.3%	-4.5%		+2.8%	+7.0%	+9.7%
Downside (P10)							$548K	$538K	$547K
Upside (P90)							$834K	$944K	$984K

Forecast Confidence

67%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$548K to $834K

41.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$547K to $984K

60.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.7% · Spread: 60%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 04013816401, Chandler · Gilbert · (Tract 8164.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).