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Mohave, AZ · ZIP 86409 · Census Tract 04015954900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$270K
Downside (P10)
$232K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$292K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$339K
+25% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +25%. The model forecasts this with 80% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $125K | $128K | $132K | $151K | $159K | $162K | $174K | $201K | $239K | $257K | $270K | $271K | $285K | $292K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$145,106 | -$142,706 | -$138,806 | -$119,706 | -$111,206 | -$108,206 | -$96,706 | -$69,106 | -$31,106 | -$13,106 | +$428 | +$14,459 | +$21,956 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -53.7% | -52.8% | -51.4% | -44.3% | -41.1% | -40.0% | -35.8% | -25.6% | -11.5% | -4.8% | +0.2% | +5.3% | +8.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $235K | $235K | $232K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $308K | $325K | $339K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$235K to $308K
26.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$232K to $339K
36.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingman | $260K | $292K | +12.2% | |
| North Mohave | $258K | $294K | +14.1% | |
| Kingman (Tract 950404) | $269K | $306K | +13.7% | |
| Kingman (Tract 950707) | $284K | $312K | +9.8% | |
| Bullhead City | $263K | $279K | +6.2% | |
| Kingman (Tract 954801) | $257K | $273K | +6.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingman | $260K | $292K | +12.2% | |
| North Mohave | $258K | $294K | +14.1% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 953406) | $570K | $648K | +13.7% | |
| Kingman | $269K | $306K | +13.7% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 952701) | $417K | $470K | +12.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingman | $260K | $292K | $107K | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951800) | $127K | $139K | $69K | |
| Kingman | $67K | $74K | $56K | |
| New Kingman-Butler (Tract 950703) | $102K | $105K | $55K | |
| New Kingman-Butler (Tract 950706) | $82K | $90K | $48K | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951702) | $78K | $88K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Mohave, AZ · ZIP 86409 · Census Tract 04015954900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$270K
Downside (P10)
$232K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$292K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$339K
+25% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +25%. The model forecasts this with 80% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $125K | $128K | $132K | $151K | $159K | $162K | $174K | $201K | $239K | $257K | $270K | $271K | $285K | $292K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$145,106 | -$142,706 | -$138,806 | -$119,706 | -$111,206 | -$108,206 | -$96,706 | -$69,106 | -$31,106 | -$13,106 | +$428 | +$14,459 | +$21,956 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -53.7% | -52.8% | -51.4% | -44.3% | -41.1% | -40.0% | -35.8% | -25.6% | -11.5% | -4.8% | +0.2% | +5.3% | +8.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $235K | $235K | $232K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $308K | $325K | $339K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$235K to $308K
26.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$232K to $339K
36.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingman | $260K | $292K | +12.2% | |
| North Mohave | $258K | $294K | +14.1% | |
| Kingman (Tract 950404) | $269K | $306K | +13.7% | |
| Kingman (Tract 950707) | $284K | $312K | +9.8% | |
| Bullhead City | $263K | $279K | +6.2% | |
| Kingman (Tract 954801) | $257K | $273K | +6.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingman | $260K | $292K | +12.2% | |
| North Mohave | $258K | $294K | +14.1% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 953406) | $570K | $648K | +13.7% | |
| Kingman | $269K | $306K | +13.7% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 952701) | $417K | $470K | +12.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingman | $260K | $292K | $107K | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951800) | $127K | $139K | $69K | |
| Kingman | $67K | $74K | $56K | |
| New Kingman-Butler (Tract 950703) | $102K | $105K | $55K | |
| New Kingman-Butler (Tract 950706) | $82K | $90K | $48K | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951702) | $78K | $88K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
