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Mohave, AZ · ZIP 86409 · Census Tract 04015950705 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$157K
Downside (P10)
$145K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$173K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$231K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $62K | $63K | $59K | $56K | $64K | $84K | $95K | $105K | $124K | $154K | $157K | $159K | $168K | $173K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$94,948 | -$94,448 | -$97,948 | -$100,948 | -$93,048 | -$73,448 | -$62,548 | -$52,348 | -$33,648 | -$3,748 | +$1,439 | +$10,400 | +$16,056 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.3% | -60.0% | -62.2% | -64.2% | -59.1% | -46.7% | -39.8% | -33.3% | -21.4% | -2.4% | +0.9% | +6.6% | +10.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $142K | $143K | $145K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $197K | $214K | $231K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$142K to $197K
34.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$145K to $231K
49.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingman | $157K | $173K | +10.3% | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951404) | $179K | $201K | +12.1% | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 955002) | $165K | $181K | +9.6% | |
| Kingman | $156K | $168K | +7.9% | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951602) | $174K | $185K | +6.0% | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951501) | $166K | $172K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingman | $157K | $173K | +10.3% | |
| North Mohave | $258K | $294K | +14.1% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 953406) | $570K | $648K | +13.7% | |
| Kingman | $269K | $306K | +13.7% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 952701) | $417K | $470K | +12.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingman | $157K | $173K | $86K | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951800) | $127K | $139K | $69K | |
| Kingman | $67K | $74K | $56K | |
| New Kingman-Butler (Tract 950703) | $102K | $105K | $55K | |
| New Kingman-Butler (Tract 950706) | $82K | $90K | $48K | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951702) | $78K | $88K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Mohave, AZ · ZIP 86409 · Census Tract 04015950705 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$157K
Downside (P10)
$145K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$173K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$231K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $62K | $63K | $59K | $56K | $64K | $84K | $95K | $105K | $124K | $154K | $157K | $159K | $168K | $173K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$94,948 | -$94,448 | -$97,948 | -$100,948 | -$93,048 | -$73,448 | -$62,548 | -$52,348 | -$33,648 | -$3,748 | +$1,439 | +$10,400 | +$16,056 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.3% | -60.0% | -62.2% | -64.2% | -59.1% | -46.7% | -39.8% | -33.3% | -21.4% | -2.4% | +0.9% | +6.6% | +10.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $142K | $143K | $145K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $197K | $214K | $231K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$142K to $197K
34.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$145K to $231K
49.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingman | $157K | $173K | +10.3% | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951404) | $179K | $201K | +12.1% | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 955002) | $165K | $181K | +9.6% | |
| Kingman | $156K | $168K | +7.9% | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951602) | $174K | $185K | +6.0% | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951501) | $166K | $172K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingman | $157K | $173K | +10.3% | |
| North Mohave | $258K | $294K | +14.1% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 953406) | $570K | $648K | +13.7% | |
| Kingman | $269K | $306K | +13.7% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 952701) | $417K | $470K | +12.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingman | $157K | $173K | $86K | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951800) | $127K | $139K | $69K | |
| Kingman | $67K | $74K | $56K | |
| New Kingman-Butler (Tract 950703) | $102K | $105K | $55K | |
| New Kingman-Butler (Tract 950706) | $82K | $90K | $48K | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951702) | $78K | $88K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
