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Mohave, AZ · ZIP 86404 · Census Tract 04015952501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$669K
Downside (P10)
$545K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$717K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$958K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $294K | $412K | $485K | $563K | $645K | $669K | $668K | $702K | $717K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$374,903 | -$257,403 | -$183,803 | -$105,903 | -$23,803 | -$1,387 | +$32,788 | +$48,417 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -56.0% | -38.5% | -27.5% | -15.8% | -3.6% | -0.2% | +4.9% | +7.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $556K | $556K | $545K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $789K | $940K | $958K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$556K to $789K
34.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$545K to $958K
57.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Havasu City · 86404 · (Tract 9525.1) | $641K | $717K | +11.8% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 953406) | $570K | $648K | +13.7% | |
| North Mohave | $505K | $559K | +10.6% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 952802) | $514K | $557K | +8.3% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 953200) | $569K | $615K | +8.2% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 953403) | $493K | $515K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Havasu City · 86404 · (Tract 9525.1) | $641K | $717K | +11.8% | |
| North Mohave | $258K | $294K | +14.1% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 953406) | $570K | $648K | +13.7% | |
| Kingman | $269K | $306K | +13.7% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 952701) | $417K | $470K | +12.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Havasu City · 86404 · (Tract 9525.1) | $641K | $717K | $413K | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951800) | $127K | $139K | $69K | |
| Kingman | $67K | $74K | $56K | |
| New Kingman-Butler (Tract 950703) | $102K | $105K | $55K | |
| New Kingman-Butler (Tract 950706) | $82K | $90K | $48K | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951702) | $78K | $88K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Mohave, AZ · ZIP 86404 · Census Tract 04015952501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$669K
Downside (P10)
$545K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$717K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$958K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $294K | $412K | $485K | $563K | $645K | $669K | $668K | $702K | $717K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$374,903 | -$257,403 | -$183,803 | -$105,903 | -$23,803 | -$1,387 | +$32,788 | +$48,417 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -56.0% | -38.5% | -27.5% | -15.8% | -3.6% | -0.2% | +4.9% | +7.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $556K | $556K | $545K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $789K | $940K | $958K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$556K to $789K
34.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$545K to $958K
57.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Havasu City · 86404 · (Tract 9525.1) | $641K | $717K | +11.8% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 953406) | $570K | $648K | +13.7% | |
| North Mohave | $505K | $559K | +10.6% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 952802) | $514K | $557K | +8.3% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 953200) | $569K | $615K | +8.2% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 953403) | $493K | $515K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Havasu City · 86404 · (Tract 9525.1) | $641K | $717K | +11.8% | |
| North Mohave | $258K | $294K | +14.1% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 953406) | $570K | $648K | +13.7% | |
| Kingman | $269K | $306K | +13.7% | |
| Lake Havasu City (Tract 952701) | $417K | $470K | +12.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Havasu City · 86404 · (Tract 9525.1) | $641K | $717K | $413K | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951800) | $127K | $139K | $69K | |
| Kingman | $67K | $74K | $56K | |
| New Kingman-Butler (Tract 950703) | $102K | $105K | $55K | |
| New Kingman-Butler (Tract 950706) | $82K | $90K | $48K | |
| Bullhead City (Tract 951702) | $78K | $88K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
