County 04483, AZ · Census Tract 04483B00800 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$183K
Downside (P10)
$184K
+0% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$291K
+59% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$487K
+166% by 2030
Base case: +59% by 2030, with a forecast range from +0% to +166%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 04483 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $183K | $222K | $249K | $278K | $291K |
| YoY Change | +21.2% | +12.2% | +11.6% | +4.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $183K | $185K | $183K | $184K | |
| Upside (P90) | $289K | $342K | $417K | $487K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$164K to $216K
28.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$184K to $487K
104.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract A00800 | $183K | $290K | +58.3% |
| Tract B00700 | $183K | $259K | +41.5% |
| Tract A00700 | $183K | $293K | +60.1% |
| Tract A00100 | $183K | $269K | +47.4% |
| Tract B01400 | $184K | $273K | +48.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract D00200 | $107K | $174K | +62.9% |
| Tract A00700 | $183K | $293K | +60.1% |
| Tract D00400 | $85K | $136K | +59.2% |
| Tract A00800 | $183K | $290K | +58.3% |
| Tract B00600 | $185K | $291K | +57.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract D00400 | $85K | $136K | $133K |
| Tract D00200 | $107K | $174K | $179K |
| Tract A00100 | $183K | $269K | $225K |
| Tract A00500 | $178K | $266K | $227K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources