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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Cochise, AZ · ZIP 85635 · Census Tract 04003001801 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$334K
Downside (P10)
$287K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$330K
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$452K
+35% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $232K | $245K | $282K | $305K | $339K | $334K | $334K | $340K | $330K | $353K |
| YoY Change | +5.4% | +15.3% | +8.2% | +11.2% | -1.7% | -0.0% | +2.0% | -3.0% | +7.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $294K | $297K | $287K | $312K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $421K | $436K | $452K | $402K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$294K to $421K
38.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$312K to $402K
25.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sierra Vista | $344K | $330K | -4.2% | |
| Bisbee (Tract 001900) | $370K | $425K | +14.9% | |
| Sierra Vista | $315K | $358K | +13.7% | |
| Benson | $275K | $298K | +8.4% | |
| Bisbee (Tract 001000) | $302K | $324K | +7.4% | |
| Bisbee (Tract 002100) | $286K | $305K | +6.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sierra Vista | $344K | $330K | -4.2% | |
| Elfrida (Tract 000503) | $243K | $281K | +15.7% | |
| Bisbee | $370K | $425K | +14.9% | |
| Elfrida (Tract 000501) | $244K | $278K | +13.8% | |
| Sierra Vista | $315K | $358K | +13.7% | |
| Benson | $222K | $250K | +12.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sierra Vista | $344K | $330K | $165K | |
| Elfrida | $131K | $134K | $76K | |
| Douglas (Tract 000600) | $101K | $107K | $61K | |
| Bowie (Tract 000102) | $79K | $84K | $49K | |
| Douglas (Tract 000902) | $104K | $110K | $48K | |
| Bowie (Tract 000101) | $53K | $56K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.