What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04001970201 in St. Johns?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $225,444 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 04001970201 in St. Johns?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $225,444 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.9%.

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Parcel 04001970201 (St. Johns) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 04001970201, St. Johns Home Price Forecast

Apache, AZ · ZIP 85936 · Census Tract 04001970201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$225K

Downside (P10)

$196K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$246K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$314K

+39% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$120K	$142K	$167K	$198K	$216K	$225K	$231K	$241K	$246K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$105,044	-$83,144	-$58,444	-$27,844	-$9,144		+$5,824	+$15,541	+$20,171
Growth % vs 2026	-46.6%	-36.9%	-25.9%	-12.4%	-4.1%		+2.6%	+6.9%	+8.9%
Downside (P10)							$201K	$200K	$196K
Upside (P90)							$268K	$289K	$314K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$201K to $268K

29.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$196K to $314K

47.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.9% · Spread: 48%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 04001970201, St. Johns on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).