What is the home price forecast for Parcel 05143010517 in Fayetteville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $338,199 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 05143010517 in Fayetteville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $338,199 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.7%.

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Parcel 05143010517 (Fayetteville) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 05143010517, Fayetteville Home Price Forecast

Washington, AR · ZIP 72704 · Census Tract 05143010517 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$338K

Downside (P10)

$273K

-19% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$351K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$483K

+43% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$203K	$223K	$267K	$289K	$334K	$338K	$343K	$352K	$351K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$135,699	-$114,899	-$71,599	-$48,999	-$4,099		+$5,276	+$13,768	+$12,630
Growth % vs 2026	-40.1%	-34.0%	-21.2%	-14.5%	-1.2%		+1.6%	+4.1%	+3.7%
Downside (P10)							$295K	$286K	$273K
Upside (P90)							$422K	$436K	$483K

Forecast Confidence

67%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$295K to $422K

37.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$273K to $483K

59.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.7% · Spread: 60%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 05143010517, Fayetteville on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).