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Washington, AR · ZIP 72753 · Census Tract 05143011005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$243K
Downside (P10)
$200K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$242K
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$345K
+42% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $183K | $181K | $202K | $222K | $234K | $243K | $243K | $245K | $242K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$59,893 | -$62,093 | -$41,293 | -$21,493 | -$9,093 | +$293 | +$2,206 | -$1,423 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -24.6% | -25.5% | -17.0% | -8.8% | -3.7% | +0.1% | +0.9% | -0.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $214K | $200K | $200K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $307K | $309K | $345K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$214K to $307K
37.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$200K to $345K
60.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prairie Grove | $237K | $242K | +1.9% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 010516) | $250K | $282K | +12.9% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 011104) | $244K | $273K | +11.9% | |
| Crawford area | $240K | $267K | +11.4% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010402) | $237K | $255K | +7.6% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010303) | $248K | $264K | +6.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prairie Grove | $237K | $242K | +1.9% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010201) | $186K | $218K | +17.2% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010401) | $200K | $232K | +16.2% | |
| Prairie area | $587K | $674K | +14.9% | |
| Richland area | $320K | $365K | +14.0% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010306) | $273K | $309K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prairie Grove | $237K | $242K | $145K | |
| Springdale (Tract 011200) | $167K | $183K | $116K | |
| Valley area | $219K | $223K | $113K | |
| Springdale (Tract 010405) | $236K | $255K | $111K | |
| Springdale (Tract 010401) | $200K | $232K | $97K | |
| Illinois area | $170K | $188K | $87K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Washington, AR · ZIP 72753 · Census Tract 05143011005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$243K
Downside (P10)
$200K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$242K
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$345K
+42% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $183K | $181K | $202K | $222K | $234K | $243K | $243K | $245K | $242K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$59,893 | -$62,093 | -$41,293 | -$21,493 | -$9,093 | +$293 | +$2,206 | -$1,423 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -24.6% | -25.5% | -17.0% | -8.8% | -3.7% | +0.1% | +0.9% | -0.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $214K | $200K | $200K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $307K | $309K | $345K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$214K to $307K
37.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$200K to $345K
60.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prairie Grove | $237K | $242K | +1.9% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 010516) | $250K | $282K | +12.9% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 011104) | $244K | $273K | +11.9% | |
| Crawford area | $240K | $267K | +11.4% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010402) | $237K | $255K | +7.6% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010303) | $248K | $264K | +6.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prairie Grove | $237K | $242K | +1.9% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010201) | $186K | $218K | +17.2% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010401) | $200K | $232K | +16.2% | |
| Prairie area | $587K | $674K | +14.9% | |
| Richland area | $320K | $365K | +14.0% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010306) | $273K | $309K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prairie Grove | $237K | $242K | $145K | |
| Springdale (Tract 011200) | $167K | $183K | $116K | |
| Valley area | $219K | $223K | $113K | |
| Springdale (Tract 010405) | $236K | $255K | $111K | |
| Springdale (Tract 010401) | $200K | $232K | $97K | |
| Illinois area | $170K | $188K | $87K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
