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Washington, AR · ZIP 72704 · Census Tract 05143010521 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$312K
Downside (P10)
$255K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$347K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$475K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $125K | $151K | $219K | $237K | $310K | $312K | $324K | $331K | $347K |
| YoY Change | +21.6% | +44.4% | +8.4% | +31.0% | +0.6% | +3.8% | +2.1% | +4.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $274K | $257K | $255K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $384K | $419K | $475K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$274K to $384K
33.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$255K to $475K
63.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fayetteville · 72704 · (Tract 105.21) | $313K | $347K | +11.0% | |
| Marrs Hill area | $312K | $343K | +9.8% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 010114) | $319K | $362K | +13.4% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 010520) | $305K | $330K | +8.1% | |
| Richland area | $320K | $365K | +14.0% | |
| Springdale | $301K | $320K | +6.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fayetteville · 72704 · (Tract 105.21) | $313K | $347K | +11.0% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010201) | $186K | $218K | +17.2% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010401) | $200K | $232K | +16.2% | |
| Prairie area | $587K | $674K | +14.9% | |
| Richland area | $320K | $365K | +14.0% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010306) | $273K | $309K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fayetteville · 72704 · (Tract 105.21) | $313K | $347K | $220K | |
| Illinois area | $170K | $188K | $87K | |
| Springdale (Tract 010401) | $200K | $232K | $97K | |
| Springdale (Tract 010405) | $236K | $255K | $111K | |
| Valley area | $219K | $223K | $113K | |
| Springdale (Tract 011200) | $167K | $183K | $116K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.