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Washington, AR · ZIP 72764 · Census Tract 05143010101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$258K
Downside (P10)
$214K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$271K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$348K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $123K | $122K | $125K | $141K | $136K | $151K | $181K | $226K | $232K | $251K | $258K | $257K | $273K | $271K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$135,141 | -$135,741 | -$132,841 | -$116,341 | -$121,941 | -$106,441 | -$76,341 | -$31,641 | -$25,441 | -$6,241 | -$461 | +$15,424 | +$13,019 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.5% | -52.7% | -51.6% | -45.2% | -47.3% | -41.3% | -29.6% | -12.3% | -9.9% | -2.4% | -0.2% | +6.0% | +5.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $214K | $227K | $214K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $328K | $340K | $348K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$214K to $328K
44.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$214K to $348K
49.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brush Creek | $259K | $271K | +4.5% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 010516) | $250K | $282K | +12.9% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010304) | $254K | $278K | +9.5% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010305) | $268K | $291K | +8.4% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 011105) | $268K | $290K | +8.2% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010303) | $248K | $264K | +6.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brush Creek | $259K | $271K | +4.5% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010201) | $186K | $218K | +17.2% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010401) | $200K | $232K | +16.2% | |
| Prairie area | $587K | $674K | +14.9% | |
| Richland area | $320K | $365K | +14.0% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010306) | $273K | $309K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brush Creek | $259K | $271K | $134K | |
| Springdale (Tract 011200) | $167K | $183K | $116K | |
| Valley area | $219K | $223K | $113K | |
| Springdale (Tract 010405) | $236K | $255K | $111K | |
| Springdale (Tract 010401) | $200K | $232K | $97K | |
| Illinois area | $170K | $188K | $87K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Washington, AR · ZIP 72764 · Census Tract 05143010101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$258K
Downside (P10)
$214K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$271K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$348K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $123K | $122K | $125K | $141K | $136K | $151K | $181K | $226K | $232K | $251K | $258K | $257K | $273K | $271K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$135,141 | -$135,741 | -$132,841 | -$116,341 | -$121,941 | -$106,441 | -$76,341 | -$31,641 | -$25,441 | -$6,241 | -$461 | +$15,424 | +$13,019 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.5% | -52.7% | -51.6% | -45.2% | -47.3% | -41.3% | -29.6% | -12.3% | -9.9% | -2.4% | -0.2% | +6.0% | +5.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $214K | $227K | $214K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $328K | $340K | $348K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$214K to $328K
44.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$214K to $348K
49.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brush Creek | $259K | $271K | +4.5% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 010516) | $250K | $282K | +12.9% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010304) | $254K | $278K | +9.5% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010305) | $268K | $291K | +8.4% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 011105) | $268K | $290K | +8.2% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010303) | $248K | $264K | +6.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brush Creek | $259K | $271K | +4.5% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010201) | $186K | $218K | +17.2% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010401) | $200K | $232K | +16.2% | |
| Prairie area | $587K | $674K | +14.9% | |
| Richland area | $320K | $365K | +14.0% | |
| Springdale (Tract 010306) | $273K | $309K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brush Creek | $259K | $271K | $134K | |
| Springdale (Tract 011200) | $167K | $183K | $116K | |
| Valley area | $219K | $223K | $113K | |
| Springdale (Tract 010405) | $236K | $255K | $111K | |
| Springdale (Tract 010401) | $200K | $232K | $97K | |
| Illinois area | $170K | $188K | $87K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
