What is the home price forecast for Parcel 05135470401 in Big Creek area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $198,832 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 05135470401 in Big Creek area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $198,832 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.7%.

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Parcel 05135470401 (Big Creek area) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 05135470401, Big Creek area Home Price Forecast

Sharp, AR · ZIP 72466 · Census Tract 05135470401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$199K

Downside (P10)

$168K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$208K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$277K

+39% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$69K	$82K	$118K	$179K	$189K	$199K	$199K	$203K	$208K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$129,432	-$116,432	-$80,932	-$19,432	-$9,532		+$56	+$4,065	+$9,358
Growth % vs 2026	-65.1%	-58.6%	-40.7%	-9.8%	-4.8%		+0.0%	+2.0%	+4.7%
Downside (P10)							$176K	$172K	$168K
Upside (P90)							$229K	$251K	$277K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$176K to $229K

26.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$168K to $277K

52.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.7% · Spread: 52%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 05135470401, Big Creek area on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).