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Sharp, AR · ZIP 72542 · Census Tract 05135470201 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$111K
Downside (P10)
$94K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$121K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$157K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $52K | $59K | $84K | $87K | $106K | $111K | $115K | $119K | $121K |
| YoY Change | +12.7% | +44.0% | +3.1% | +22.3% | +4.5% | +3.1% | +4.1% | +1.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $94K | $96K | $94K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $131K | $146K | $157K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$94K to $131K
32.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$94K to $157K
52.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hardy area | $108K | $121K | +11.7% | |
| Cherokee Village | $93K | $106K | +13.3% | |
| West Sullivan area | $115K | $130K | +12.5% | |
| Big Creek area | $195K | $208K | +6.8% | |
| Lower North area | $87K | $93K | +6.6% | |
| Davidson area | $104K | $109K | +4.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hardy area | $108K | $121K | +11.7% | |
| Cherokee Village | $93K | $106K | +13.3% | |
| West Sullivan area | $115K | $130K | +12.5% | |
| Big Creek area | $195K | $208K | +6.8% | |
| Lower North area | $87K | $93K | +6.6% | |
| Davidson area | $104K | $109K | +4.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hardy area | $108K | $121K | $63K | |
| Big Creek area | $195K | $208K | $109K | |
| West Sullivan area | $115K | $130K | $70K | |
| Lower North area | $87K | $93K | $55K | |
| Cherokee Village | $93K | $106K | $53K | |
| Davidson area | $104K | $109K | $51K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.