What is the home price forecast for Parcel 05131001312 in Fort Smith?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $206,680 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 05131001312 in Fort Smith?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $206,680 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.6%.

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Parcel 05131001312 (Fort Smith) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 05131001312, Fort Smith Home Price Forecast

Sebastian, AR · ZIP 72908 · Census Tract 05131001312 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$207K

Downside (P10)

$176K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$214K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$277K

+34% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$145K	$140K	$163K	$170K	$203K	$207K	$209K	$212K	$214K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$61,980	-$66,980	-$43,680	-$36,680	-$4,180		+$1,968	+$5,602	+$7,372
Growth % vs 2026	-30.0%	-32.4%	-21.1%	-17.7%	-2.0%		+1.0%	+2.7%	+3.6%
Downside (P10)							$184K	$177K	$176K
Upside (P90)							$240K	$261K	$277K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$184K to $240K

26.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$176K to $277K

47.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.6% · Spread: 47%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 05131001312, Fort Smith on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).