Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
Searcy, AR · Census Tract 05129000202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$59K
Downside (P10)
$41K
-31% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$85K
+44% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$152K
+157% by 2030
Base case: +44% by 2030, with a forecast range from -31% to +157%. The model forecasts this with 28% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $59K | $71K | $78K | $81K | $85K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$12,504 | +$18,780 | +$21,548 | +$26,148 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +21.2% | +31.8% | +36.5% | +44.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $54K | $49K | $46K | $41K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $96K | $127K | $140K | $152K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$54K to $96K
57.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$41K to $152K
130.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000202 | $59K | $85K | +44.3% | |
| Searcy (Tract 000203) | $64K | $94K | +46.0% | |
| Searcy (Tract 000204) | $58K | $84K | +44.9% | |
| Wileys Cove area | $125K | $142K | +13.8% | |
| Bear Creek No. 4 area | $100K | $101K | +0.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000202 | $59K | $85K | +44.3% | |
| Searcy (Tract 000203) | $64K | $94K | +46.0% | |
| Searcy (Tract 000204) | $58K | $84K | +44.9% | |
| Wileys Cove area | $125K | $142K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000202 | $59K | $85K | $111K | |
| Searcy | $58K | $84K | $96K | |
| Calf Creek area | $129K | $143K | $87K | |
| Wileys Cove area | $125K | $142K | $68K | |
| Bear Creek No. 4 area | $100K | $101K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Searcy, AR · Census Tract 05129000202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$59K
Downside (P10)
$41K
-31% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$85K
+44% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$152K
+157% by 2030
Base case: +44% by 2030, with a forecast range from -31% to +157%. The model forecasts this with 28% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $59K | $71K | $78K | $81K | $85K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$12,504 | +$18,780 | +$21,548 | +$26,148 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +21.2% | +31.8% | +36.5% | +44.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $54K | $49K | $46K | $41K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $96K | $127K | $140K | $152K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$54K to $96K
57.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$41K to $152K
130.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000202 | $59K | $85K | +44.3% | |
| Searcy (Tract 000203) | $64K | $94K | +46.0% | |
| Searcy (Tract 000204) | $58K | $84K | +44.9% | |
| Wileys Cove area | $125K | $142K | +13.8% | |
| Bear Creek No. 4 area | $100K | $101K | +0.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000202 | $59K | $85K | +44.3% | |
| Searcy (Tract 000203) | $64K | $94K | +46.0% | |
| Searcy (Tract 000204) | $58K | $84K | +44.9% | |
| Wileys Cove area | $125K | $142K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000202 | $59K | $85K | $111K | |
| Searcy | $58K | $84K | $96K | |
| Calf Creek area | $129K | $143K | $87K | |
| Wileys Cove area | $125K | $142K | $68K | |
| Bear Creek No. 4 area | $100K | $101K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
