What is the home price forecast for Parcel 05125010602 in Shaw area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $163,128 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 05125010602 in Shaw area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $163,128 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.5%.

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Parcel 05125010602 (Shaw area) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 05125010602, Shaw area Home Price Forecast

Saline, AR · ZIP 72015 · Census Tract 05125010602 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$163K

Downside (P10)

$137K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$182K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$203K

+24% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +24%. The model forecasts this with 80% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$113K	$110K	$117K	$122K	$161K	$163K	$165K	$175K	$182K	$168K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$50,328	-$52,828	-$45,828	-$40,728	-$1,728		+$1,875	+$11,506	+$18,763	+$5,058
Growth % vs 2026	-30.9%	-32.4%	-28.1%	-25.0%	-1.1%		+1.1%	+7.1%	+11.5%	+3.1%
Downside (P10)							$138K	$138K	$137K	$150K
Upside (P90)							$183K	$198K	$203K	$192K

Forecast Confidence

86%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$138K to $183K

27.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$150K to $192K

25.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.1% · Spread: 25%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 05125010602, Shaw area on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).