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Pulaski, AR · ZIP 72204 · Census Tract 05119001900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$91K
Downside (P10)
$75K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$96K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$140K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $59K | $60K | $58K | $58K | $60K | $64K | $67K | $84K | $92K | $91K | $91K | $92K | $95K | $96K | $95K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$32,002 | -$31,802 | -$33,102 | -$33,202 | -$31,002 | -$27,202 | -$24,702 | -$7,902 | +$798 | -$402 | +$712 | +$3,474 | +$4,123 | +$3,633 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -35.0% | -34.8% | -36.2% | -36.3% | -33.9% | -29.8% | -27.0% | -8.6% | +0.9% | -0.4% | +0.8% | +3.8% | +4.5% | +4.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $77K | $78K | $75K | $85K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $114K | $131K | $140K | $108K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$77K to $114K
40.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$85K to $108K
24.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock | $93K | $96K | +2.9% | |
| Little Rock (Tract 001100) | $91K | $103K | +13.1% | |
| North Little Rock (Tract 002800) | $91K | $103K | +12.9% | |
| North Little Rock (Tract 002900) | $89K | $98K | +9.8% | |
| Little Rock (Tract 002001) | $91K | $95K | +4.6% | |
| Big Rock | $91K | $92K | +1.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock | $93K | $96K | +2.9% | |
| Hill (Tract 003605) | $180K | $215K | +19.3% | |
| Little Rock | $82K | $97K | +17.1% | |
| Hill (Tract 004307) | $257K | $299K | +16.7% | |
| Hill (Tract 003604) | $169K | $197K | +16.5% | |
| Hill (Tract 003405) | $194K | $224K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock | $93K | $96K | $65K | |
| Big Rock | $91K | $92K | $49K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 002403) | $101K | $105K | $45K | |
| Hill | $97K | $105K | $41K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004107) | $61K | $63K | $34K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004108) | $71K | $75K | $32K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Pulaski, AR · ZIP 72204 · Census Tract 05119001900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$91K
Downside (P10)
$75K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$96K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$140K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $59K | $60K | $58K | $58K | $60K | $64K | $67K | $84K | $92K | $91K | $91K | $92K | $95K | $96K | $95K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$32,002 | -$31,802 | -$33,102 | -$33,202 | -$31,002 | -$27,202 | -$24,702 | -$7,902 | +$798 | -$402 | +$712 | +$3,474 | +$4,123 | +$3,633 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -35.0% | -34.8% | -36.2% | -36.3% | -33.9% | -29.8% | -27.0% | -8.6% | +0.9% | -0.4% | +0.8% | +3.8% | +4.5% | +4.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $77K | $78K | $75K | $85K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $114K | $131K | $140K | $108K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$77K to $114K
40.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$85K to $108K
24.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock | $93K | $96K | +2.9% | |
| Little Rock (Tract 001100) | $91K | $103K | +13.1% | |
| North Little Rock (Tract 002800) | $91K | $103K | +12.9% | |
| North Little Rock (Tract 002900) | $89K | $98K | +9.8% | |
| Little Rock (Tract 002001) | $91K | $95K | +4.6% | |
| Big Rock | $91K | $92K | +1.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock | $93K | $96K | +2.9% | |
| Hill (Tract 003605) | $180K | $215K | +19.3% | |
| Little Rock | $82K | $97K | +17.1% | |
| Hill (Tract 004307) | $257K | $299K | +16.7% | |
| Hill (Tract 003604) | $169K | $197K | +16.5% | |
| Hill (Tract 003405) | $194K | $224K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock | $93K | $96K | $65K | |
| Big Rock | $91K | $92K | $49K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 002403) | $101K | $105K | $45K | |
| Hill | $97K | $105K | $41K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004107) | $61K | $63K | $34K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004108) | $71K | $75K | $32K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
