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Pulaski, AR · ZIP 72204 · Census Tract 05119002403 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$102K
Downside (P10)
$91K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$105K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$136K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $90K | $90K | $89K | $90K | $94K | $89K | $87K | $100K | $96K | $99K | $102K | $103K | $106K | $105K |
| YoY Change | +1.0% | -1.9% | +1.5% | +4.4% | -5.1% | -2.8% | +15.0% | -3.3% | +2.4% | +3.7% | +1.0% | +2.6% | -1.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $90K | $91K | $91K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $123K | $127K | $136K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$90K to $123K
32.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$91K to $136K
42.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock · 72204 · (Tract 24.3) | $101K | $105K | +3.8% | |
| Big Rock | $97K | $110K | +13.7% | |
| Little Rock | $108K | $117K | +8.5% | |
| Hill (Tract 002700) | $97K | $105K | +8.3% | |
| North Little Rock | $98K | $105K | +7.0% | |
| Hill (Tract 003606) | $108K | $112K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock · 72204 · (Tract 24.3) | $101K | $105K | +3.8% | |
| Hill (Tract 003605) | $180K | $215K | +19.3% | |
| Little Rock | $82K | $97K | +17.1% | |
| Hill (Tract 003604) | $169K | $197K | +16.5% | |
| Hill (Tract 003405) | $194K | $224K | +15.8% | |
| North Little Rock | $221K | $255K | +15.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock · 72204 · (Tract 24.3) | $101K | $105K | $45K | |
| North Little Rock | $89K | $98K | $51K | |
| Big Rock | $91K | $92K | $49K | |
| Hill | $97K | $105K | $41K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004107) | $61K | $63K | $34K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004108) | $71K | $75K | $32K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.