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Pulaski, AR · ZIP 72205 · Census Tract 05119002103 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$224K
Downside (P10)
$193K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$233K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$304K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $134K | $137K | $148K | $147K | $143K | $156K | $157K | $180K | $192K | $218K | $224K | $231K | $233K | $233K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$90,574 | -$87,674 | -$75,874 | -$77,374 | -$80,874 | -$68,174 | -$67,074 | -$44,474 | -$32,274 | -$5,974 | +$6,371 | +$8,852 | +$8,848 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.4% | -39.1% | -33.8% | -34.5% | -36.1% | -30.4% | -29.9% | -19.8% | -14.4% | -2.7% | +2.8% | +3.9% | +3.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $196K | $193K | $193K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $272K | $300K | $304K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$196K to $272K
32.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$193K to $304K
47.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock · 72205 · (Tract 21.3) | $223K | $233K | +4.5% | |
| North Little Rock | $221K | $255K | +15.5% | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004220) | $228K | $258K | +13.0% | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004700) | $225K | $243K | +8.1% | |
| Little Rock (Tract 002407) | $222K | $239K | +7.6% | |
| Little Rock (Tract 002203) | $219K | $224K | +2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock · 72205 · (Tract 21.3) | $223K | $233K | +4.5% | |
| Hill (Tract 003605) | $180K | $215K | +19.3% | |
| Little Rock | $82K | $97K | +17.1% | |
| Hill (Tract 004307) | $257K | $299K | +16.7% | |
| Hill (Tract 003604) | $169K | $197K | +16.5% | |
| Hill (Tract 003405) | $194K | $224K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock · 72205 · (Tract 21.3) | $223K | $233K | $112K | |
| Big Rock | $91K | $92K | $49K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 002403) | $101K | $105K | $45K | |
| Hill | $97K | $105K | $41K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004107) | $61K | $63K | $34K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004108) | $71K | $75K | $32K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Pulaski, AR · ZIP 72205 · Census Tract 05119002103 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$224K
Downside (P10)
$193K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$233K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$304K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $134K | $137K | $148K | $147K | $143K | $156K | $157K | $180K | $192K | $218K | $224K | $231K | $233K | $233K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$90,574 | -$87,674 | -$75,874 | -$77,374 | -$80,874 | -$68,174 | -$67,074 | -$44,474 | -$32,274 | -$5,974 | +$6,371 | +$8,852 | +$8,848 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.4% | -39.1% | -33.8% | -34.5% | -36.1% | -30.4% | -29.9% | -19.8% | -14.4% | -2.7% | +2.8% | +3.9% | +3.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $196K | $193K | $193K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $272K | $300K | $304K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$196K to $272K
32.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$193K to $304K
47.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock · 72205 · (Tract 21.3) | $223K | $233K | +4.5% | |
| North Little Rock | $221K | $255K | +15.5% | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004220) | $228K | $258K | +13.0% | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004700) | $225K | $243K | +8.1% | |
| Little Rock (Tract 002407) | $222K | $239K | +7.6% | |
| Little Rock (Tract 002203) | $219K | $224K | +2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock · 72205 · (Tract 21.3) | $223K | $233K | +4.5% | |
| Hill (Tract 003605) | $180K | $215K | +19.3% | |
| Little Rock | $82K | $97K | +17.1% | |
| Hill (Tract 004307) | $257K | $299K | +16.7% | |
| Hill (Tract 003604) | $169K | $197K | +16.5% | |
| Hill (Tract 003405) | $194K | $224K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock · 72205 · (Tract 21.3) | $223K | $233K | $112K | |
| Big Rock | $91K | $92K | $49K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 002403) | $101K | $105K | $45K | |
| Hill | $97K | $105K | $41K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004107) | $61K | $63K | $34K | |
| Little Rock (Tract 004108) | $71K | $75K | $32K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
