What is the home price forecast for Parcel 05093010802 in Big Lake?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $180,520 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 05093010802 in Big Lake?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $180,520 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.2%.

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Parcel 05093010802 (Big Lake) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 05093010802, Big Lake Home Price Forecast

Mississippi, AR · ZIP 72442 · Census Tract 05093010802 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$181K

Downside (P10)

$154K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$188K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$251K

+39% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$135K	$131K	$145K	$147K	$179K	$181K	$178K	$183K	$188K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$45,820	-$49,620	-$35,920	-$33,120	-$1,720		-$3,010	+$2,426	+$7,502
Growth % vs 2026	-25.4%	-27.5%	-19.9%	-18.3%	-1.0%		-1.7%	+1.3%	+4.2%
Downside (P10)							$157K	$159K	$154K
Upside (P90)							$221K	$242K	$251K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$157K to $221K

35.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$154K to $251K

51.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.2% · Spread: 52%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 05093010802, Big Lake on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).