Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
Miller, AR · ZIP 71854 · Census Tract 05091020802 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$206K
Downside (P10)
$176K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$225K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$293K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $91K | $132K | $151K | $151K | $163K | $162K | $165K | $163K | $193K | $196K | $206K | $213K | $217K | $225K |
| YoY Change | +45.2% | +14.0% | -0.3% | +8.3% | -0.9% | +2.2% | -1.3% | +18.7% | +1.2% | +5.3% | +3.6% | +1.8% | +3.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $184K | $185K | $176K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $256K | $272K | $293K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$184K to $256K
33.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$176K to $293K
52.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garland · Texarkana · (Tract 208.2) | $200K | $225K | +12.2% | |
| Garland area | $211K | $228K | +8.1% | |
| Texarkana (Tract 020702) | $201K | $217K | +8.2% | |
| Texarkana (Tract 020701) | $169K | $179K | +5.9% | |
| Beech area | $167K | $185K | +11.0% | |
| Texarkana (Tract 020801) | $264K | $295K | +11.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garland · Texarkana · (Tract 208.2) | $200K | $225K | +12.2% | |
| Texarkana (Tract 020801) | $264K | $295K | +11.8% | |
| Texarkana (Tract 020500) | $92K | $102K | +11.5% | |
| Beech area | $167K | $185K | +11.0% | |
| Texarkana (Tract 020702) | $201K | $217K | +8.2% | |
| Garland area | $211K | $228K | +8.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garland · Texarkana · (Tract 208.2) | $200K | $225K | $118K | |
| Texarkana (Tract 020400) | $77K | $81K | $44K | |
| Sulphur | $87K | $90K | $52K | |
| Texarkana (Tract 020200) | $112K | $110K | $60K | |
| Texarkana (Tract 020500) | $92K | $102K | $70K | |
| Garland | $132K | $134K | $73K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.