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Greene, AR · ZIP 72450 · Census Tract 05055480200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$169K
Downside (P10)
$139K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$169K
+0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$242K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $87K | $86K | $92K | $103K | $108K | $126K | $128K | $150K | $155K | $161K | $169K | $171K | $176K | $169K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$82,461 | -$83,161 | -$76,861 | -$66,561 | -$60,961 | -$43,161 | -$41,461 | -$19,161 | -$14,261 | -$7,661 | +$2,258 | +$6,589 | +$172 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -48.8% | -49.2% | -45.5% | -39.4% | -36.1% | -25.5% | -24.5% | -11.3% | -8.4% | -4.5% | +1.3% | +3.9% | +0.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $144K | $139K | $139K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $208K | $229K | $242K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$144K to $208K
37.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$139K to $242K
60.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campground area | $166K | $169K | +2.0% | |
| Paragould (Tract 480501) | $166K | $187K | +12.6% | |
| Crowley's Ridge | $155K | $171K | +10.3% | |
| Paragould (Tract 480402) | $160K | $175K | +9.7% | |
| Dalton | $164K | $178K | +8.1% | |
| Paragould (Tract 480801) | $195K | $207K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campground area | $166K | $169K | +2.0% | |
| Paragould (Tract 480802) | $201K | $228K | +13.5% | |
| Paragould (Tract 480501) | $166K | $187K | +12.6% | |
| Paragould (Tract 480502) | $85K | $96K | +12.5% | |
| Paragould (Tract 480401) | $207K | $229K | +10.9% | |
| Crowley's Ridge | $155K | $171K | +10.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campground area | $166K | $169K | $103K | |
| Crowley's Ridge | $155K | $171K | $101K | |
| Paragould (Tract 480402) | $160K | $175K | $96K | |
| Bagwell Lake | $124K | $129K | $48K | |
| Paragould (Tract 480502) | $85K | $96K | $47K | |
| Rush Island | $70K | $75K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Greene, AR · ZIP 72450 · Census Tract 05055480200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$169K
Downside (P10)
$139K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$169K
+0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$242K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $87K | $86K | $92K | $103K | $108K | $126K | $128K | $150K | $155K | $161K | $169K | $171K | $176K | $169K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$82,461 | -$83,161 | -$76,861 | -$66,561 | -$60,961 | -$43,161 | -$41,461 | -$19,161 | -$14,261 | -$7,661 | +$2,258 | +$6,589 | +$172 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -48.8% | -49.2% | -45.5% | -39.4% | -36.1% | -25.5% | -24.5% | -11.3% | -8.4% | -4.5% | +1.3% | +3.9% | +0.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $144K | $139K | $139K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $208K | $229K | $242K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$144K to $208K
37.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$139K to $242K
60.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campground area | $166K | $169K | +2.0% | |
| Paragould (Tract 480501) | $166K | $187K | +12.6% | |
| Crowley's Ridge | $155K | $171K | +10.3% | |
| Paragould (Tract 480402) | $160K | $175K | +9.7% | |
| Dalton | $164K | $178K | +8.1% | |
| Paragould (Tract 480801) | $195K | $207K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campground area | $166K | $169K | +2.0% | |
| Paragould (Tract 480802) | $201K | $228K | +13.5% | |
| Paragould (Tract 480501) | $166K | $187K | +12.6% | |
| Paragould (Tract 480502) | $85K | $96K | +12.5% | |
| Paragould (Tract 480401) | $207K | $229K | +10.9% | |
| Crowley's Ridge | $155K | $171K | +10.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campground area | $166K | $169K | $103K | |
| Crowley's Ridge | $155K | $171K | $101K | |
| Paragould (Tract 480402) | $160K | $175K | $96K | |
| Bagwell Lake | $124K | $129K | $48K | |
| Paragould (Tract 480502) | $85K | $96K | $47K | |
| Rush Island | $70K | $75K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
