Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Garland, AR · ZIP 71909 · Census Tract 05051010401 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$270K
Downside (P10)
$213K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$288K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$367K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $174K | $190K | $245K | $259K | $264K | $270K | $273K | $278K | $288K |
| YoY Change | +9.2% | +29.1% | +5.8% | +1.9% | +2.4% | +1.0% | +2.0% | +3.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $225K | $218K | $213K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $317K | $344K | $367K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$225K to $317K
33.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$213K to $367K
53.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whittington | $269K | $288K | +7.0% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011802) | $265K | $293K | +10.4% | |
| Hale | $249K | $272K | +9.4% | |
| Lake Hamilton (Tract 011201) | $280K | $304K | +8.5% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011602) | $267K | $285K | +6.7% | |
| Lake Hamilton (Tract 011202) | $273K | $288K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whittington | $269K | $288K | +7.0% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011400) | $115K | $129K | +12.7% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011801) | $211K | $234K | +10.7% | |
| Piney | $105K | $116K | +10.7% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 010601) | $153K | $169K | +10.6% | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011802) | $265K | $293K | +10.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whittington | $269K | $288K | $153K | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011500) | $116K | $120K | $67K | |
| Piney | $105K | $116K | $64K | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 010602) | $81K | $89K | $50K | |
| Hale | $68K | $72K | $44K | |
| Hot Springs (Tract 011702) | $96K | $104K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.