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Drew, AR · ZIP 71638 · Census Tract 05043490100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$66K
Downside (P10)
$56K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$70K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$95K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $52K | $54K | $54K | $64K | $68K | $64K | $60K | $85K | $59K | $65K | $66K | $65K | $71K | $70K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$13,930 | -$11,930 | -$11,730 | -$2,430 | +$1,970 | -$2,430 | -$6,230 | +$18,670 | -$6,930 | -$1,030 | -$1,060 | +$4,603 | +$3,818 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -21.1% | -18.1% | -17.8% | -3.7% | +3.0% | -3.7% | -9.4% | +28.3% | -10.5% | -1.6% | -1.6% | +7.0% | +5.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $57K | $57K | $56K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $84K | $88K | $95K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$57K to $84K
40.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$56K to $95K
56.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cominto area | $67K | $70K | +4.7% | |
| Drew (Tract 001600) | $119K | $169K | +41.8% | |
| Drew (Tract 001700) | $127K | $178K | +39.6% | |
| Marion (Tract 490400) | $151K | $162K | +7.8% | |
| Marion (Tract 490200) | $79K | $79K | +0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cominto area | $67K | $70K | +4.7% | |
| Drew (Tract 001600) | $119K | $169K | +41.8% | |
| Drew (Tract 001700) | $127K | $178K | +39.6% | |
| Drew (Tract 000200) | $328K | $448K | +36.7% | |
| Saline area | $179K | $194K | +8.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cominto area | $67K | $70K | $39K | |
| Marion (Tract 490400) | $151K | $162K | $124K | |
| Marion (Tract 490300) | $181K | $191K | $112K | |
| Saline area | $179K | $194K | $89K | |
| Marion (Tract 490200) | $79K | $79K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Drew, AR · ZIP 71638 · Census Tract 05043490100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$66K
Downside (P10)
$56K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$70K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$95K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $52K | $54K | $54K | $64K | $68K | $64K | $60K | $85K | $59K | $65K | $66K | $65K | $71K | $70K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$13,930 | -$11,930 | -$11,730 | -$2,430 | +$1,970 | -$2,430 | -$6,230 | +$18,670 | -$6,930 | -$1,030 | -$1,060 | +$4,603 | +$3,818 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -21.1% | -18.1% | -17.8% | -3.7% | +3.0% | -3.7% | -9.4% | +28.3% | -10.5% | -1.6% | -1.6% | +7.0% | +5.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $57K | $57K | $56K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $84K | $88K | $95K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$57K to $84K
40.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$56K to $95K
56.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cominto area | $67K | $70K | +4.7% | |
| Drew (Tract 001600) | $119K | $169K | +41.8% | |
| Drew (Tract 001700) | $127K | $178K | +39.6% | |
| Marion (Tract 490400) | $151K | $162K | +7.8% | |
| Marion (Tract 490200) | $79K | $79K | +0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cominto area | $67K | $70K | +4.7% | |
| Drew (Tract 001600) | $119K | $169K | +41.8% | |
| Drew (Tract 001700) | $127K | $178K | +39.6% | |
| Drew (Tract 000200) | $328K | $448K | +36.7% | |
| Saline area | $179K | $194K | +8.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cominto area | $67K | $70K | $39K | |
| Marion (Tract 490400) | $151K | $162K | $124K | |
| Marion (Tract 490300) | $181K | $191K | $112K | |
| Saline area | $179K | $194K | $89K | |
| Marion (Tract 490200) | $79K | $79K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
