What is the home price forecast for Parcel 05015950501 in Southeast?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $182,351 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 05015950501 in Southeast?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $182,351 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.1%.

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Parcel 05015950501 (Southeast) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 05015950501, Southeast Home Price Forecast

Carroll, AR · ZIP 72616 · Census Tract 05015950501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$182K

Downside (P10)

$157K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$192K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$252K

+38% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$173K	$152K	$149K	$163K	$175K	$182K	$186K	$193K	$192K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$9,451	-$30,451	-$33,451	-$19,151	-$7,651		+$3,825	+$10,193	+$9,221
Growth % vs 2026	-5.2%	-16.7%	-18.3%	-10.5%	-4.2%		+2.1%	+5.6%	+5.1%
Downside (P10)							$156K	$157K	$157K
Upside (P90)							$226K	$235K	$252K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$156K to $226K

37.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$157K to $252K

49.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.1% · Spread: 50%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 05015950501, Southeast on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).