Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Tuscaloosa, AL · ZIP 35446 · Census Tract 01125010302 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$184K
Downside (P10)
$156K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$204K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$261K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $132K | $133K | $142K | $158K | $157K | $134K | $149K | $143K | $152K | $178K | $184K | $188K | $203K | $204K |
| YoY Change | +0.7% | +7.0% | +10.7% | -0.3% | -14.6% | +11.3% | -4.6% | +6.7% | +17.4% | +3.0% | +2.4% | +8.0% | +0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $158K | $151K | $156K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $228K | $248K | $261K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$158K to $228K
37.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$156K to $261K
51.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coker | $183K | $204K | +11.4% | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 012700) | $183K | $208K | +13.7% | |
| Coaling-Vance | $198K | $213K | +7.3% | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 012408) | $201K | $214K | +6.6% | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 012001) | $199K | $209K | +4.8% | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 012305) | $197K | $194K | -1.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coker | $183K | $204K | +11.4% | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 012406) | $153K | $178K | +16.0% | |
| Abernant | $279K | $324K | +16.0% | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 011800) | $87K | $99K | +14.0% | |
| Samantha | $233K | $266K | +13.9% | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 012700) | $183K | $208K | +13.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coker | $183K | $204K | $105K | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 011701) | $114K | $129K | $73K | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 011902) | $157K | $167K | $71K | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 010500) | $119K | $121K | $68K | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 011800) | $87K | $99K | $46K | |
| Tuscaloosa (Tract 011703) | $113K | $126K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.