What is the home price forecast for Parcel 01117030351 in Alabaster-Helena?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $534,280 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 01117030351 in Alabaster-Helena?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $534,280 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.9%.

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Parcel 01117030351 (Alabaster-Helena) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 01117030351, Alabaster-Helena Home Price Forecast

Shelby, AL · ZIP 35244 · Census Tract 01117030351 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$534K

Downside (P10)

$459K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$555K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$681K

+28% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +28%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$318K	$354K	$405K	$486K	$526K	$534K	$545K	$550K	$555K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$216,080	-$179,880	-$129,580	-$48,580	-$8,080		+$10,439	+$15,766	+$20,887
Growth % vs 2026	-40.4%	-33.7%	-24.3%	-9.1%	-1.5%		+2.0%	+3.0%	+3.9%
Downside (P10)							$484K	$482K	$459K
Upside (P90)							$632K	$644K	$681K

Forecast Confidence

78%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$484K to $632K

27.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$459K to $681K

40.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.9% · Spread: 40%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 01117030351, Alabaster-Helena on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).