What is the home price forecast for Parcel 01109189003 in Troy?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $258,060 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 01109189003 in Troy?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $258,060 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.5%.

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Parcel 01109189003 (Troy) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 01109189003, Troy Home Price Forecast

Pike, AL · ZIP 36079 · Census Tract 01109189003 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$258K

Downside (P10)

$216K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$280K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$326K

+26% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +26%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$169K	$190K	$230K	$247K	$253K	$258K	$266K	$271K	$280K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$89,560	-$68,460	-$27,660	-$10,660	-$4,860		+$7,713	+$12,601	+$22,010
Growth % vs 2026	-34.7%	-26.5%	-10.7%	-4.1%	-1.9%		+3.0%	+4.9%	+8.5%
Downside (P10)							$224K	$229K	$216K
Upside (P90)							$295K	$321K	$326K

Forecast Confidence

78%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$224K to $295K

26.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$216K to $326K

39.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.5% · Spread: 39%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 01109189003, Troy on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).