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Mobile, AL · ZIP 36523 · Census Tract 01097007204 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$278K
Downside (P10)
$237K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$292K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$389K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $233K | $222K | $276K | $264K | $269K | $278K | $281K | $303K | $292K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$45,417 | -$56,817 | -$2,517 | -$14,717 | -$9,517 | +$2,484 | +$24,259 | +$13,413 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -16.3% | -20.4% | -0.9% | -5.3% | -3.4% | +0.9% | +8.7% | +4.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $248K | $248K | $237K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $374K | $373K | $389K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$248K to $374K
45.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$237K to $389K
52.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayou La Batre · Coden · (Tract 72.4) | $272K | $292K | +7.1% | |
| Grand Bay | $272K | $302K | +11.2% | |
| Tillmans Corner | $272K | $296K | +8.7% | |
| Mobile (Tract 002501) | $273K | $287K | +5.0% | |
| Mobile (Tract 005601) | $276K | $289K | +4.7% | |
| Tanner Williams | $280K | $276K | -1.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayou La Batre · Coden · (Tract 72.4) | $272K | $292K | +7.1% | |
| Mobile (Tract 003405) | $167K | $203K | +21.3% | |
| Mobile (Tract 006106) | $205K | $244K | +18.8% | |
| Mobile (Tract 003301) | $443K | $518K | +17.0% | |
| Tanner Williams | $175K | $204K | +16.7% | |
| Mobile (Tract 003706) | $245K | $284K | +16.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Mobile, AL · ZIP 36523 · Census Tract 01097007204 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$278K
Downside (P10)
$237K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$292K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$389K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $233K | $222K | $276K | $264K | $269K | $278K | $281K | $303K | $292K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$45,417 | -$56,817 | -$2,517 | -$14,717 | -$9,517 | +$2,484 | +$24,259 | +$13,413 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -16.3% | -20.4% | -0.9% | -5.3% | -3.4% | +0.9% | +8.7% | +4.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $248K | $248K | $237K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $374K | $373K | $389K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$248K to $374K
45.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$237K to $389K
52.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayou La Batre · Coden · (Tract 72.4) | $272K | $292K | +7.1% | |
| Grand Bay | $272K | $302K | +11.2% | |
| Tillmans Corner | $272K | $296K | +8.7% | |
| Mobile (Tract 002501) | $273K | $287K | +5.0% | |
| Mobile (Tract 005601) | $276K | $289K | +4.7% | |
| Tanner Williams | $280K | $276K | -1.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayou La Batre · Coden · (Tract 72.4) | $272K | $292K | +7.1% | |
| Mobile (Tract 003405) | $167K | $203K | +21.3% | |
| Mobile (Tract 006106) | $205K | $244K | +18.8% | |
| Mobile (Tract 003301) | $443K | $518K | +17.0% | |
| Tanner Williams | $175K | $204K | +16.7% | |
| Mobile (Tract 003706) | $245K | $284K | +16.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
