What is the home price forecast for Parcel 01093964002 in Bear Creek · Haleyville · (Tract 9640.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $62,141 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 01093964002 in Bear Creek · Haleyville · (Tract 9640.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $62,141 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.2%.

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Parcel 01093964002 (Bear Creek) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 01093964002, Bear Creek · Haleyville · (Tract 9640.2) Home Price Forecast

Marion, AL · ZIP 35565 · Census Tract 01093964002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$62K

Downside (P10)

$54K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$67K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$86K

+38% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$47K	$55K	$48K	$60K	$62K	$63K	$64K	$67K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$15,641	-$7,641	-$14,141	-$1,741		+$1,179	+$1,848	+$4,489
Growth % vs 2026	-25.2%	-12.3%	-22.8%	-2.8%		+1.9%	+3.0%	+7.2%
Downside (P10)						$54K	$53K	$54K
Upside (P90)						$74K	$82K	$86K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$54K to $74K

32.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$54K to $86K

47.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.2% · Spread: 47%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 01093964002, Bear Creek · Haleyville · (Tract 9640.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).