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Madison, AL · ZIP 35773 · Census Tract 01089010405 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$261K
Downside (P10)
$217K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$253K
-3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$397K
+52% by 2030
Base case: -3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $159K | $150K | $197K | $229K | $254K | $261K | $259K | $253K | $253K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$102,360 | -$110,660 | -$63,960 | -$31,760 | -$6,660 | -$2,199 | -$7,900 | -$7,719 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.2% | -42.4% | -24.5% | -12.2% | -2.6% | -0.8% | -3.0% | -3.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $224K | $219K | $217K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $326K | $341K | $397K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$224K to $326K
39.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$217K to $397K
71.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Crossroads · Toney · (Tract 104.5) | $257K | $253K | -1.3% | |
| Huntsville (Tract 000902) | $261K | $302K | +15.5% | |
| Huntsville (Tract 010503) | $264K | $292K | +10.8% | |
| Huntsville (Tract 002911) | $260K | $275K | +6.0% | |
| Huntsville (Tract 010629) | $256K | $272K | +6.0% | |
| Huntsville (Tract 010502) | $266K | $277K | +4.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Crossroads · Toney · (Tract 104.5) | $257K | $253K | -1.3% | |
| Madison | $454K | $571K | +25.7% | |
| Huntsville area | $242K | $282K | +16.3% | |
| Huntsville | $366K | $425K | +16.1% | |
| Moores Mill | $278K | $321K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Crossroads · Toney · (Tract 104.5) | $257K | $253K | $180K | |
| Huntsville (Tract 002502) | $92K | $103K | $53K | |
| Huntsville (Tract 002501) | $87K | $97K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Madison, AL · ZIP 35773 · Census Tract 01089010405 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$261K
Downside (P10)
$217K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$253K
-3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$397K
+52% by 2030
Base case: -3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $159K | $150K | $197K | $229K | $254K | $261K | $259K | $253K | $253K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$102,360 | -$110,660 | -$63,960 | -$31,760 | -$6,660 | -$2,199 | -$7,900 | -$7,719 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.2% | -42.4% | -24.5% | -12.2% | -2.6% | -0.8% | -3.0% | -3.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $224K | $219K | $217K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $326K | $341K | $397K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$224K to $326K
39.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$217K to $397K
71.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Crossroads · Toney · (Tract 104.5) | $257K | $253K | -1.3% | |
| Huntsville (Tract 000902) | $261K | $302K | +15.5% | |
| Huntsville (Tract 010503) | $264K | $292K | +10.8% | |
| Huntsville (Tract 002911) | $260K | $275K | +6.0% | |
| Huntsville (Tract 010629) | $256K | $272K | +6.0% | |
| Huntsville (Tract 010502) | $266K | $277K | +4.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Crossroads · Toney · (Tract 104.5) | $257K | $253K | -1.3% | |
| Madison | $454K | $571K | +25.7% | |
| Huntsville area | $242K | $282K | +16.3% | |
| Huntsville | $366K | $425K | +16.1% | |
| Moores Mill | $278K | $321K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Crossroads · Toney · (Tract 104.5) | $257K | $253K | $180K | |
| Huntsville (Tract 002502) | $92K | $103K | $53K | |
| Huntsville (Tract 002501) | $87K | $97K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
