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Lawrence, AL · ZIP 35619 · Census Tract 01079979700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$155K
Downside (P10)
$139K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$168K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$217K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $85K | $86K | $88K | $95K | $104K | $123K | $117K | $128K | $117K | $147K | $155K | $159K | $166K | $168K | $153K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$70,510 | -$68,910 | -$67,510 | -$60,810 | -$51,610 | -$32,810 | -$38,210 | -$27,810 | -$38,110 | -$8,210 | +$3,214 | +$10,271 | +$12,587 | -$2,748 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.4% | -44.4% | -43.5% | -39.2% | -33.2% | -21.1% | -24.6% | -17.9% | -24.5% | -5.3% | +2.1% | +6.6% | +8.1% | -1.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $142K | $146K | $139K | $136K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $196K | $189K | $217K | $173K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$142K to $196K
33.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$136K to $173K
24.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speake-Oakville | $152K | $168K | +10.7% | |
| Town Creek-Courtland | $125K | $147K | +17.5% | |
| Morris Chapel (Tract 979501) | $154K | $176K | +14.2% | |
| Morris Chapel (Tract 979502) | $136K | $146K | +7.6% | |
| Mount Hope | $168K | $181K | +7.6% | |
| Moulton | $163K | $176K | +7.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speake-Oakville | $152K | $168K | +10.7% | |
| Town Creek-Courtland | $125K | $147K | +17.5% | |
| Hillsboro | $198K | $227K | +14.5% | |
| Morris Chapel | $154K | $176K | +14.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Lawrence, AL · ZIP 35619 · Census Tract 01079979700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$155K
Downside (P10)
$139K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$168K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$217K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $85K | $86K | $88K | $95K | $104K | $123K | $117K | $128K | $117K | $147K | $155K | $159K | $166K | $168K | $153K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$70,510 | -$68,910 | -$67,510 | -$60,810 | -$51,610 | -$32,810 | -$38,210 | -$27,810 | -$38,110 | -$8,210 | +$3,214 | +$10,271 | +$12,587 | -$2,748 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.4% | -44.4% | -43.5% | -39.2% | -33.2% | -21.1% | -24.6% | -17.9% | -24.5% | -5.3% | +2.1% | +6.6% | +8.1% | -1.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $142K | $146K | $139K | $136K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $196K | $189K | $217K | $173K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$142K to $196K
33.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$136K to $173K
24.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speake-Oakville | $152K | $168K | +10.7% | |
| Town Creek-Courtland | $125K | $147K | +17.5% | |
| Morris Chapel (Tract 979501) | $154K | $176K | +14.2% | |
| Morris Chapel (Tract 979502) | $136K | $146K | +7.6% | |
| Mount Hope | $168K | $181K | +7.6% | |
| Moulton | $163K | $176K | +7.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speake-Oakville | $152K | $168K | +10.7% | |
| Town Creek-Courtland | $125K | $147K | +17.5% | |
| Hillsboro | $198K | $227K | +14.5% | |
| Morris Chapel | $154K | $176K | +14.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
