What is the home price forecast for Parcel 01073014106 in North Johns · Adger · (Tract 141.6)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $213,171 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 01073014106 in North Johns · Adger · (Tract 141.6)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $213,171 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.8%.

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Parcel 01073014106 (North Johns) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 01073014106, North Johns · Adger · (Tract 141.6) Home Price Forecast

Jefferson, AL · ZIP 35006 · Census Tract 01073014106 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$213K

Downside (P10)

$188K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$228K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$320K

+50% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$147K	$167K	$203K	$199K	$209K	$213K	$212K	$223K	$228K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$66,171	-$46,371	-$10,071	-$14,071	-$4,471		-$1,609	+$9,627	+$14,499
Growth % vs 2026	-31.0%	-21.8%	-4.7%	-6.6%	-2.1%		-0.8%	+4.5%	+6.8%
Downside (P10)							$187K	$192K	$188K
Upside (P90)							$267K	$299K	$320K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$187K to $267K

37.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$188K to $320K

57.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +6.8% · Spread: 58%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 01073014106, North Johns · Adger · (Tract 141.6) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).