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Covington, AL · Census Tract 01039000500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$156K
Downside (P10)
$179K
+15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$245K
+57% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$353K
+126% by 2030
Base case: +57% by 2030, with a forecast range from +15% to +126%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $156K | $191K | $213K | $234K | $245K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$34,663 | +$57,072 | +$77,857 | +$88,848 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +22.2% | +36.5% | +49.8% | +56.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $160K | $168K | $168K | $179K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $238K | $283K | $316K | $353K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$160K to $238K
41.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$179K to $353K
70.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000500 | $156K | $245K | +56.9% | |
| Opp (Tract 962400) | $141K | $158K | +11.7% | |
| Andalusia (Tract 962000) | $165K | $173K | +4.6% | |
| Andalusia (Tract 961900) | $164K | $166K | +0.7% | |
| Falco | $152K | $150K | -0.8% | |
| Opp (Tract 962500) | $162K | $160K | -1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000500 | $156K | $245K | +56.9% | |
| Covington (Tract 000201) | $59K | $88K | +50.6% | |
| Covington (Tract 000300) | $218K | $321K | +46.9% | |
| Opp (Tract 962400) | $141K | $158K | +11.7% | |
| Opp (Tract 962600) | $86K | $93K | +8.3% | |
| Andalusia | $219K | $235K | +7.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Covington, AL · Census Tract 01039000500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$156K
Downside (P10)
$179K
+15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$245K
+57% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$353K
+126% by 2030
Base case: +57% by 2030, with a forecast range from +15% to +126%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $156K | $191K | $213K | $234K | $245K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$34,663 | +$57,072 | +$77,857 | +$88,848 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +22.2% | +36.5% | +49.8% | +56.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $160K | $168K | $168K | $179K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $238K | $283K | $316K | $353K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$160K to $238K
41.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$179K to $353K
70.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000500 | $156K | $245K | +56.9% | |
| Opp (Tract 962400) | $141K | $158K | +11.7% | |
| Andalusia (Tract 962000) | $165K | $173K | +4.6% | |
| Andalusia (Tract 961900) | $164K | $166K | +0.7% | |
| Falco | $152K | $150K | -0.8% | |
| Opp (Tract 962500) | $162K | $160K | -1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000500 | $156K | $245K | +56.9% | |
| Covington (Tract 000201) | $59K | $88K | +50.6% | |
| Covington (Tract 000300) | $218K | $321K | +46.9% | |
| Opp (Tract 962400) | $141K | $158K | +11.7% | |
| Opp (Tract 962600) | $86K | $93K | +8.3% | |
| Andalusia | $219K | $235K | +7.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
