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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Escambia, AL · ZIP 36426 · Census Tract 01053970200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$98K
Downside (P10)
$78K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$107K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$137K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $75K | $76K | $87K | $89K | $90K | $78K | $94K | $88K | $107K | $94K | $98K | $99K | $104K | $107K |
| YoY Change | +1.5% | +14.2% | +2.8% | +0.6% | -13.4% | +20.6% | -5.9% | +21.5% | -12.4% | +4.2% | +0.8% | +5.7% | +2.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $74K | $75K | $78K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $117K | $130K | $137K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$74K to $117K
43.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$78K to $137K
55.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewton | $95K | $107K | +12.6% | |
| East Escambia (Tract 969801) | $103K | $117K | +13.7% | |
| Brewton | $125K | $139K | +11.4% | |
| East Escambia (Tract 969802) | $87K | $95K | +8.7% | |
| Atmore | $109K | $115K | +5.6% | |
| McCullough-Huxford | $99K | $103K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewton | $95K | $107K | +12.6% | |
| Flomaton | $146K | $170K | +16.6% | |
| East Escambia (Tract 969801) | $103K | $117K | +13.7% | |
| Brewton (Tract 969900) | $125K | $139K | +11.4% | |
| Brewton (Tract 970100) | $192K | $211K | +10.1% | |
| East Escambia (Tract 969802) | $87K | $95K | +8.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewton | $95K | $107K | $59K | |
| Atmore (Tract 970500) | $163K | $175K | $82K | |
| McCullough-Huxford | $99K | $103K | $65K | |
| East Escambia (Tract 969802) | $87K | $95K | $65K | |
| East Escambia (Tract 969801) | $103K | $117K | $64K | |
| Atmore (Tract 970600) | $109K | $115K | $64K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.