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Baldwin, AL · ZIP 36549 · Census Tract 01003011604 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$207K
Downside (P10)
$180K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$231K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$311K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $155K | $156K | $161K | $196K | $201K | $207K | $213K | $224K | $231K | $207K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$52,189 | -$50,589 | -$46,089 | -$10,389 | -$6,289 | +$6,111 | +$17,639 | +$24,527 | +$520 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.2% | -24.5% | -22.3% | -5.0% | -3.0% | +3.0% | +8.5% | +11.9% | +0.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $183K | $171K | $180K | $184K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $260K | $287K | $311K | $234K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$183K to $260K
36.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$184K to $234K
24.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elberta · Lillian · (Tract 116.4) | $204K | $231K | +13.6% | |
| Robertsdale | $224K | $249K | +11.2% | |
| Bay Minette (Tract 010500) | $211K | $230K | +9.1% | |
| Bay Minette (Tract 010400) | $211K | $226K | +7.4% | |
| Daphne | $231K | $248K | +7.2% | |
| Bay Minette (Tract 010200) | $213K | $220K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elberta · Lillian · (Tract 116.4) | $204K | $231K | +13.6% | |
| Foley (Tract 011415) | $879K | $1.05M | +19.5% | |
| Fairhope (Tract 011104) | $370K | $438K | +18.6% | |
| Foley (Tract 011504) | $327K | $387K | +18.3% | |
| Foley (Tract 011410) | $334K | $392K | +17.3% | |
| Fairhope (Tract 011202) | $504K | $577K | +14.4% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Baldwin, AL · ZIP 36549 · Census Tract 01003011604 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$207K
Downside (P10)
$180K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$231K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$311K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $155K | $156K | $161K | $196K | $201K | $207K | $213K | $224K | $231K | $207K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$52,189 | -$50,589 | -$46,089 | -$10,389 | -$6,289 | +$6,111 | +$17,639 | +$24,527 | +$520 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.2% | -24.5% | -22.3% | -5.0% | -3.0% | +3.0% | +8.5% | +11.9% | +0.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $183K | $171K | $180K | $184K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $260K | $287K | $311K | $234K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$183K to $260K
36.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$184K to $234K
24.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elberta · Lillian · (Tract 116.4) | $204K | $231K | +13.6% | |
| Robertsdale | $224K | $249K | +11.2% | |
| Bay Minette (Tract 010500) | $211K | $230K | +9.1% | |
| Bay Minette (Tract 010400) | $211K | $226K | +7.4% | |
| Daphne | $231K | $248K | +7.2% | |
| Bay Minette (Tract 010200) | $213K | $220K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elberta · Lillian · (Tract 116.4) | $204K | $231K | +13.6% | |
| Foley (Tract 011415) | $879K | $1.05M | +19.5% | |
| Fairhope (Tract 011104) | $370K | $438K | +18.6% | |
| Foley (Tract 011504) | $327K | $387K | +18.3% | |
| Foley (Tract 011410) | $334K | $392K | +17.3% | |
| Fairhope (Tract 011202) | $504K | $577K | +14.4% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
