Nome, AK · Census Tract 02180080003 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.15M
Downside (P10)
$574K
-50% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.02M
-12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.84M
+60% by 2030
Base case: -12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -50% to +60%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar Nome markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.1M | $1.0M | $1.0M |
| YoY Change | +3.7% | -9.1% | -7.2% | +0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $781K | $665K | $554K | $574K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$930K to $1.45M
45.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$574K to $1.84M
124.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources