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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Matanuska-Susitna, AK · ZIP 99674 · Census Tract 02170000200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$151K
Downside (P10)
$133K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$219K
+45% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$421K
+178% by 2030
Base case: +45% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +178%. The model forecasts this with 28% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $167K | $165K | $172K | $171K | $165K | $189K | $210K | $219K | $222K | $237K | $151K | $182K | $202K | $214K | $219K |
| YoY Change | -1.0% | +4.0% | -0.5% | -3.7% | +14.8% | +11.3% | +4.3% | +1.1% | +6.9% | -36.3% | +20.2% | +11.5% | +5.8% | +2.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $142K | $139K | $138K | $133K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $251K | $300K | $381K | $421K |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$142K to $251K
59.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$133K to $421K
131.4% of median
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources