What is the home price forecast for Parcel 02090001401 in Badger?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $333,688 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 02090001401 in Badger?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $333,688 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.8%.

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Parcel 02090001401 (Badger) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 02090001401, Badger Home Price Forecast

Fairbanks North Star, AK · ZIP 99705 · Census Tract 02090001401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$334K

Downside (P10)

$279K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$356K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$477K

+43% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$291K	$289K	$314K	$327K	$313K	$334K	$338K	$345K	$356K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$42,988	-$44,688	-$20,188	-$6,488	-$20,588		+$4,288	+$11,241	+$22,627
Growth % vs 2026	-12.9%	-13.4%	-6.0%	-1.9%	-6.2%		+1.3%	+3.4%	+6.8%
Downside (P10)							$287K	$289K	$279K
Upside (P90)							$404K	$437K	$477K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$287K to $404K

34.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$279K to $477K

55.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +6.8% · Spread: 55%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 02090001401, Badger on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).